Recently
I blogged about how I was inoculated from childhood to regard Election Day and the act of voting as holy and mysterious rituals and
obligations. I still feel that way. But this year the election is shrouded
with apocalyptic significance
and a sense of dread.
This
has been no ordinary contest between
Republican and Democrats, conservatives and
liberals, even between reactionaries and radicals, no matter how passionate
the divide or loyalty to the
candidates and parties. There is the overwhelming feeling, shared by both sides, that the very
future and survival of the nation hangs in the balance.
After
the secret Constitutional Convention ended
a lady asked Benjamin Franklin,
“Well Doctor, what have we got a republic or a monarchy.
“A republic, if you can keep it,” he reportedly replied. Indeed.
This is the test of whether
we can keep it yet.
Oh,
I have every confidence in the outcome of the Presidential race. I expect Hillary Clinton to handily win an impressive majority of the Electoral
College and beat Donald Trump like
a drum in a wider-than-expected popular vote. An absolute
majority of ballots cast despite
the presence of two minor party
alternatives and threatened Bernie
Sanders write-ins or blank votes cast
by disgusted Republicans. I also expect the Senate to flip, a close contest for a House Majority, and Democratic gains down ballot in dozens of states.
The
question is, will Trump and the rabid supporters that he has whipped into a frenzy, accept the results. After weeks of suggesting the election is
rigged and hinting of Second
Amendment solution there is more than a whiff of treason and rebellion in the air. The so-called
Alt-right—the polite term the media has opted to use which normalizes
dangerous extremism—including gun obsessed militias, various Ku Klux Klan splinters, and open
neo-Nazis have been beating the drum
for insurrection hoping to seize the
moment. Now even golf shirt wearing old White guys who
can hardly be expected to collect their
hunting rifles and march on whatever
symbol of Federal power is handy, are
routinely caught on video swearing to
rebel. And this morning there have
already been scattered reports of gun toting “patriots” patrolling polls
and trying to scare or discourage Blacks, Latinos, women, and students from voting.
This
is not the first time in American History
that there has been a bitterly
divisive election which has shifted
the paradigm. The so-called Revolution of 1800 brought Thomas Jefferson and the Democratic Republicans to power, ousting permanently John Adams’s
Federalists, which were reduced to
a New England rump within a very
short period. They did not, however go
down without a final fling—the
ironically became the first proponents of
disunion and secession a few years later to protest the Embargo Act and eventual war
with Britain. The would-be congress
of a break-away New England—the Hartford
Convention, fizzled harmlessly and the wave
of patriotic pride born of the Second
War for Independence—swept the party to permanent oblivion.
The County Election by George Caleb Bingham. |
But
as bitter as the contest between the
two old Revolutionary partners was, it was largely conducted at arm’s length and by surrogates in extremely partisan newspapers and the supporters
of each side tended to be separated by
distance, religion, and class
division. Outside of some street scuffles between partisans of
each side on parade through major cities
like Philadelphia, New York, and Boston, there was no talk of insurrection. An embittered
Adams slunk out of Washington on
the eve of Jefferson’s inauguration after
attempting to pack the Federal Courts with
his notorious midnight appointments,
ending resistance with a petulant whimper, not with a bang.
Of
course the Election of 1860 did have
more cataclysmic ramifications. A three-way split among the long-in-power
Democrats between Northern, Southern, and border state factions allowed Republican Abraham Lincoln to come to
power with a minority of the popular
vote and a solid block of Northern state Electoral votes.
Southern
firebrands had made no secret that they would refuse
to stay in the Union if that “damnable
Black Republican” was elected. One
by one Southern state legislatures voted to secede and
eventually united in as a would-be new nation—the Confederate
States of America. The four bloodiest years in American
history are testimony to how well that turned out.
It
not that I fear that any state—even bellicose Texas where a resurrection of the Texas Republic had been floated several times in recent years
or the near insane Republican governors of Kansas and Main who
having nearly destroyed the economies
of their states have taken to occasional fantasizing, will rush to
secession. The practicalities preclude it. Nor do I believe that a rag-tag of guys playing war
in the woods, and duffers with
shotguns are going to suddenly turn
into a credible force that can overthrow
a government. The notion is laughable even if they could entice a few sheriffs, local police, and at the furthest stretch of the imagination
some National Guard units to march to their doom with them.
Some
right wingers fantasize about an armed coup d’état. While there are some ultra right officers in the Armed Forces, particularly in the Air Force and Navy and some White
nationalists have enlisted and
are serving in the hopes of being
trained and ready for a rebellion, I don’t believe that any can rely on troops sufficient to actually seize power. They would be opposed by a majority of officers and the enlisted ranks in loyalty to the Constitution.
So you can count those among the fruitless
wet dreams of the deluded.
Election Day, Norman Rockwell. |
But
I am deeply concerned with the possibility of wide spread domestic terrorism, of assassination attempts, and mostly of attacks on Black, Latin, Muslim, LBGT targets in the hope of provoking a violent response. The dream is to provoke a race war that they will win “because we have all the
guns.”
Rack
all of that up to paranoia if you
will. It may be that except for an isolated lunatic here and
there that nothing will happen beyond a prolonged
mass sulk and pout and whatever political sniping they can get away
with from weakened positions in Congress and in state and local
power.
Worst,
probably is that the country will remain
deeply divided. Families, friendships,
and all manner of social connections have
already been probably irreparably
shattered. The hard core of each side has completely
dismissed the humanity of the other.
I
don’t want to engage in the false equivalency of the media which enabled Trump and his minions by insisting that every one of
his sins was matched in turn by
some Hillary deficiency. It turned out his long history of shady business deals, cheated clients and vendors, bankruptcies, tax evasions, not to mention his overt and horrible racism and misogyny,
were overlooked or minimized while every manufactured Clinton scandal was blown up into a huge deal all in the
supposed service of even handedness. The indeed deplorable behavior and aggression
of Trump supporters and their total
immunity from believing or caring about their golden boy’s transgressions is undeniable.
But
liberals and Clinton supporters have
been eager to tar all Trump
supporters with the sins of the worst.
They have been merciless in mocking
and dismissing them as stereotypical toothless hillbillies,
knuckle dragging cretins, and superstitious
idiots. Considering that one of the greatest motivations that moved many
members of the White working class away
from their traditional Democratic allegiance
was the sense that the so-called liberal
elites scorned and disrespected
them. This is an alienation going
back to the 1960’s when many liberals decided that the white working class were
all hopeless Archie Bunkers or Joe from the movie of the same name, blue
collar bigot who goes on a hippie
killing spree. We have hardly talked to one another for decades
and now we have stuck our thumbs in
their eyes again. No wonder they turn a deaf ear to the very
good argument that by supporting Republican oligarchs they are voting
against their own best interest.
We
have created tribal type loyalties that
are being passes on generation by
generation despite the fruitless
waste. Think of the festering hatred between Ulster Protestants and Catholics with all of its foolish bloody consequences, the ease
with which old rivalries resurrected
sending Croats, Serbs, and Bosnians at each other’s throats. We can have a long and ghastly Civil War even if mass armies never take to the field.
Some
sort of deep reconciliation and peace work is called for. But who is brave enough to undertake it?
Who is brave enough even to
listen?
On
the other hand, there are things today the lift
my spirits and give me hope. The parade
of posts on Facebook from Pantsuit Nation and others showing empowered women, many with their children as well as unafraid men—even old white guys like me, plus Blacks, Latinos, and Muslims means
that fascism will be smashed. A new
majority is arising. Now that
majority has to be as generous and forgiving as possible and seek ways to bridge common humanity.
May it be so.
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