Tuesday, June 30, 2026

Was it a Flashback to Extinction or an Omen—The Tunguska Event

 

An artist rendition of what Siberian natives saw in the sky before the explosion that has come to be known as the Tunguska Event.

It was the largest impact event on or near Earth in recorded history.  An explosion three to six miles above the surface of the Earth is estimated to have been in the range of 10–15 megatons of TNT—about 1,000 times greater than that of the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima.  It knocked down virtually everything standing in 830 square miles, shook the Earth the equivalent of a 5.0 earthquake on the Richter scale, caused fluctuation in atmospheric pressure measured in London, and caused a stratospheric cloud of ice crystals to orbit the Earth for months affecting the climate of the Northern Hemisphere.

But because the explosion on June 30, 1908 occurred over one of the most remote and under populated regions of the Earth—an almost unexplored (by Europeans) forest near the Podkamennaya Tunguska River deep in south-central Siberia—it was barely noted at the time.  Subsequent events—World War I, the Russian Revolution, and the Civil War that followed meant that the site of the Tunguska Event was not investigated until an expedition was finally mounted in 1927, 19 years after the explosion.

On July 2, 1908 first sketchy reports were printed in a Siberian newspaper:

On the 17th of June [Julian calendar still in use in Russia], around 9 a.m. in the morning, we observed an unusual natural occurrence. In the north Karelinski village [200 verst north of Kirensk] the peasants saw to the northwest, rather high above the horizon, some strangely bright (impossible to look at) bluish-white heavenly body, which for 10 minutes moved downwards. The body appeared as a “pipe”, i.e., a cylinder. The sky was cloudless, only a small dark cloud was observed in the general direction of the bright body. It was hot and dry. As the body neared the ground (forest), the bright body seemed to smudge, and then turned into a giant billow of black smoke, and a loud knocking (not thunder) was heard, as if large stones were falling, or artillery was fired. All buildings shook. At the same time the cloud began emitting flames of uncertain shapes. All villagers were stricken with panic and took to the streets, women cried, thinking it was the end of the world.

The author of these lines was meantime in the forest about 6 verst [6.4 km] north of Kirensk and heard to the northeast some kind of artillery barrage, which repeated in intervals of 15 minutes at least 10 times. In Kirensk in a few buildings in the walls facing northeast window glass shook.

Scattered reports reached Moscow within days but received surprisingly scant interest.  No official or scientific investigations were undertaken to find out what the hell happened out there in the boonies.

                               
                                             Soviet Mineralogist Leonid Kulik led expeditions to investigate what had happened twenty years after the fact.

Finally in 1921, as the Civil War was winding down, mineralogist Leonid Kulik was dispatched by the Soviet Academy of Sciences to the Podkamennaya Tunguska River basin not to investigate the incident 13 years early but as part of a survey to discover possible natural resources in the remote area.  He began hearing stories of the mysterious event from locals and started informally collecting evidence as well as he could without actually traveling to the area of the impact.  He concluded a large meteor or small asteroid had either struck the Earth or exploded on entry relatively close to the surface.

Kulik spent years trying to convince Soviet science authorities to fund a full-scale expedition to the site.  But the practical commissars keeping a close eye on those foolish scientists had little interest in abstract science or basic research.  They insisted that some tangible and practical economic benefit must be the result of any investigation. 

Finally, Kulik convinced them that he might be able to locate a very large nickel/cadmium/iron meteorite, the kind representing some of the densest and hardest stone found on Earth, which could be useful in the Soviet steel industry.  He had to do this with fingers crossed behind his back knowing that even if such a meteorite had struck the earth, it would have shattered into small fragments spread over a wide area and unlikely to be recoverable in any economically viable amounts.

None-the-less Kulik arrived in the area in 1927 at the head of a well-supplied expedition.  He contracted with local Evenks, indigenous semi-nomadic reindeer herders and hunters, to guide him from remote Russian trading outposts to the site.  Travel through dense forests cut by numerous rivers and streams was extremely difficult.  But after weeks of travel the group neared the target area.  Then, just south of the site, the Kulik guides flatly refused to take him further, fearing possible supernatural beings called valleymen associated with the site.  Kulik had to turn back to a village and arrange for new guides.

Finally, the expedition reached a ridge overlooking the impact area.  To Kulik’s surprise, he could detect no discernible impact crater.  Instead around ground zero he found a vast zone more than 5 miles across of trees scorched and devoid of branches but standing upright.  Trees further from the center were more lightly singed.  Closer in but all knocked over in a direction away from the center was a giant ring of flattened trees radiating outward from an invisible center.  



In 1927 Kulik found a ring of trees knocked down outward from a suspected epicenter.

Kulik led three more expeditions to the area looking for evidence of an impact.  His best hope seemed to be numerous small pothole bogs which he thought might have been created by meteorite fragments.  But this turned out to be a blind alley.  Draining one turned up an old tree stump at its bottom, not extraterrestrial stone.

The Soviets continued to send teams of investigators to the region for decades but the mystery of just what had happened only deepened.  Eventually microscopic beads of silicate and magnetite were found in the soil, and still later similar beads were found in the resin of some trees.  The beads or spheres also contained significant traces of nickel iron similar in composition to that found in meteorites.  All of this bolstered the opinion that an object from space was involved, but that it had likely been virtually destroyed by an explosion in the atmosphere.  That became the most widely accepted theoretic explanation of the event.

Atmospheric nuclear tests it the ‘50s and ‘60s seemed to confirm the hypothesis that an asteroid exploded.  Air bursts over forests showed that trees directly under the blast were stripped as the blast wave moved vertically downward, while trees farther away were knocked over because the blast wave was traveling closer to horizontal when it reaches them.  



Map based on Kulik's observations showing the suspected epicenter, trajectory of the meteor or asteroid fragment, and the rings of devastation.  The inset shows the location in the Soviet Union with K representing the impact zone. 

By then aerial surveys showed the blast area was actually in the “shape of a butterfly with wings outstretched” occupying an area of 830 square miles, with a wingspan of 43 miles and a body length of 34 miles.  Soviet experiments performed in the mid-‘60s, with model forests and small explosive charges slid downward on wires, produced strikingly similar butterfly-shaped blast patterns suggested that an extraterrestrial object had approached at an angle of roughly 30 degrees from the ground and 115 degrees from north and exploded in mid-air. 

Making up for the lack of interest in the first few years, the Tunguska Event continues to arouse and challenge science to come up with new techniques and technologies almost yearly to discovering what happened.  The exploding asteroid theory remains the top contender, but the continuing absence of any fragment of the object has opened the door to other conjectures. 

Among the several theories advanced, the one which picked up the most steam was that instead of an asteroid, the object was a small comet or a fragment of a larger comet that had disintegrated in orbit earlier.   Advanced by some Soviet scientists in the 1930’s, the fact that the head of a comet—made up of ice particles and space dust exploding in the atmosphere would explain why no physical debris has been found on earth.  Dissipation of the ice crystals into the upper atmosphere could also explain the “glow” that was reported for some days after the event and the orbiting particles that reduced sunlight hitting the Earth over the next year.

In the ‘70s the Soviets even advanced a candidate, fragment of the short-period Comet Encke, which is responsible for the Beta Taurid meteor shower which coincided with the event.  Later Western research has cast doubt on the comet theory pointing out that a comet reaching the atmosphere at the low angle expected would have exploded or vaporized far earlier and not nearly reached the surface, if a handful of miles can be said to be near the surface.  Other research showed that the object came in a direction from the Asteroid Belt.


Lake Cheko thought by some to have been formed from the impact crater.

If the comet idea was doubtful, scientists were still troubled by the absence of physical evidence that a hard stony object like an asteroid should have left behind.  Then in 2007 a candidate for the long-sought impact crater was brought forwards—Lake Cheko, a small, bowl-shaped lake a little more than 4 miles north-northwest of the epicenter.  Magnetic readings indicated a possible meter-sized chunk of rock below the lake’s deepest point that may be a fragment of the colliding body and chemical analysis of the lake silt supported a creation about the time of the impact.  Scientists from the University of Bologna led by Professor Giuseppe Longo have pressed the case that the long-missing impact crater and a fragment may have been found.  Other experts are skeptical.

In 2005 a near earth object identified as 2005 NB56 was observed for a 17-day period as it neared the Earth.  Its exact orbit could not be calculated, but some scientists believe that a large fragment of it in may have brushed the atmosphere in 1908 causing the explosion and then skipping or bouncing back into orbit around the Sun.  They believe that the object will again near the earth in 2048 and hope that better calculation of its orbit would be able to confirm it as a candidate.

A couple of proposals have been put forward involving a “natural H-bomb.”  In these scenarios unusually large concentrations of deuteriumheavy hydrogen—in the head of a small comet underwent a nuclear fusion reaction when it entered the atmosphere.  Two or three explanations of how this could have been triggered have been advanced.  Most scientists believe that that the concentration of radioactive isotopes in the blast region to be inconsistent with those expected following a nuclear explosion.

Probably the oddest of all theories seriously advanced was that the earth was actually struck by a small black hole which passed through the planet exiting on the other side.  This one has most scientists shaking their heads in disbelief.  If this were the case, there should have been and exit explosion of similar magnitude.  Even though at the expected trajectory, the exit would have occurred somewhere in the North Atlantic, closer than the impact event to the seismic recording stations that collected much of the evidence of the event and would likely have been observed by ships in the region.

A similar proposal suggested a collision with an anti-mater object.  Neither of those explanations takes into account the orbiting dust trails in the atmosphere or the distribution of high-nickel magnetic micro-beads around the impact area.

One scientist has even suggested that there was no collision or impact of any sort, but rather huge eruption and explosion of 10 million tons of natural gas from within Earth’s crust.  Few are taking a bite out of that apple, especially since just as an impact crater has been hard to find, there is no geologic evidence of an outward explosion from the crust.  But with global warming threatening to release vast quantities of frozen methane or natural gas below the Siberian frost line that scenario raises frightening possibilities.


After more than 120 years tree growth is returning to the devastated area, although many of the logs of the downed trees observed in 1927 lay between new growth.  But at the center,   trees have not returned, although they theoretically should have.  More fodder for scientists and pseudo-scientists alike.

But then so does being struck by an asteroid as scientists believe that a collision with one or more is inevitable and only a matter of time.  Asteroid collisions are the most likely causes for several mass extinctions on Earth—including the one that doomed the dinosaurs. 

Despite all of the other conjectures most scientists keep coming back to that wayward asteroid.

But I am sure as I type that the History Chanel is preparing a “documentary” on the Tunguska Event blaming aliens.  Or maybe they already have….

Monday, June 29, 2026

Birthday Sisters Emma and Helen--More in Common than You Suspected with Murfin Verse


A young Emma Goldman  in her mug shot after her arrest for conspiring with her lover Alexander Berkman  in an assassination attempt on steel baron Henry Clay Frick.

Note—I have posted this poem before, but the two women are particular favorites of mine and I immodestly think that the poem is one of my better efforts.  I also think that they would be astute commentators on the attempted re-subjugation of women by the Supreme Court and Red State governors and legislators.  Emma, of course, a champion of free love and sexual liberation, would never have had faith in the courts to protect women.  An advocate of militant direct action, she would be loudly calling for a real revolution.  Helen, the Wobbly and Socialist, might be supposed to be more moderate, but I wonder if she really would.  She might recommend the ballot box as a defensive action, but she also saw the need for a revolution that would literally “Build a new society in the shell of the old.”

Emma Goldman, whose grave I have visited on pilgrimages to the Haymarket Memorial in Forest Home Cemetery, and Helen Keller, who has fascinated me since seeing The Miracle Worker and reading a paperback biography I ordered from a Scholastic Book Club flyer shared a common birthday on June 27.

You know, if you have visited here before, that such calendar coincidences trigger an inexplicable urge to commit poetry.


Helen Keller as a student at Radcliffe was already world famous for her astounding achievements overcoming blindness and deafness.

Most people recognize Goldman’s name as Americas most famous anarchist.  They may be surprised to learn that she was also a celebrated lecturer whose talks on theater, religion, women’s rights, and free love drew as much attention in their day as her calls to smash the state and end capitalism.


Goldman was such a compelling writer and public figure that even the capitalist press was eager to publish her fiery essays.

Keller’s profound advocacy of Socialism and the Industrial Workers of the World (IWW) has largely been whitewashed from her public image.  But that is changing as folks on the left slowly become aware that she was a comrade and fellow worker.


Helen Keller as a Joan of Arc type hero leading the working people of the world to triumph in an allegorical scene from her 1919 silent film Deliverance.  That was the height of the post-World War I Red Scare which saw hundreds imprisoned, the IWW and Socialist Party suppressed, and "alien" radicals like Emma Goldman deported.  Yet Helen persisted

In these dark times it is good to remember our Sheroes.  

Birthday Sisters Emma and Helen

Emma Goldman June 27,1869, Konvo, Imperial Russian Lithuania

Helen Keller, June 27, 1880, Tuscumbia, Alabama, USA

 

If I can't dance, I don’t want to be part of your revolution—Emma Goldman

 

…there is no king who has not had a slave among his ancestors, and no slave who has not had a king among his.—Helen Keller.

 

You might not suspect that they were sisters.

 

Emma with her square jaw and carelessly attended hair,

            gray eyes peering through

            those old fashion pinze nez spectacles

            perched upon her nose,

            the urban smells of coal fire,

delivery horse dung and workman’s sweat

clinging to her frumpy clothes,

speech meticulously enunciated

barely betraying here and there

a Yiddish trace.

 

Helen, who would have been a delicate beauty

            in her youth

            were it not for those disconcerting,

            unfocused eyes,

            Confederate grace and slave cotton wealth

            a mantle on her delicate shoulders,

            the sweet lilt of a gentlewoman

            lost to grunts and moans.

 

But wait….    

            These two knew what it was like

            to be a stranger, an exile,

            an alien other

            and ultimately what it was like

            to be a celebrated curiosity.

 

They learned as a Jew

            and as a side show freak,

            as women, after all,

            what oppression was

            but also that they

            were not alone—

 

They swam in a sea of oppression

            and learned early

            of the solidarity of the school

            against the sharks

            that would consume them.

 

Maybe the world expected little else

            from the Jewess

            who threw her lot early

            with the filthy anarchists

            who made bombs

            and plotted  attentats

            like that job she pulled

            passing the pistol

            to her lover, for god sake,

            to plug Henry Clay Frick.

 

But the world was aghast

            when the delicate Radcliffe flower

            who had charmed Mark Twain,

            Alexander Graham Bell,

            and Teddy Roosevelt,

            raised the Red Flag

            and fell side by side

            with the laborers,

            the unemployed,        

            the despised—even the Negros!

 

The atheist anarchist

            and the Socialist Wobbly

            who dabbled in Swedenborgism

            and a mystic Red Jesus

            did not agree on details,

            they might have enjoyed

            a friendly debate

            each being a master

            of the platform.

 

But each in her own way

            was steadfast to the end

            of her long life

            for a revolution of liberation

            and the ultimate triumph

            of beauty.

 

I imagine sometimes

            that as they each

            traversed the country

            on lecture tour or

            vaudeville circuit

            if they ever crossed paths

            in say, a railway station

            in Omaha or a

            hotel lobby in Akron

            and fell into each other’s arms

            sobbing—

 

“Sister, sister, I have found you!”

 

—Patrick Murfin 

Sunday, June 28, 2026

Bloody Sarajevo and the Birth of Modernity in 1914


A good case can be made for abandoning the current B.C./A.D.—or B.C.E/C.E.—division of historic time in favor of B.S./A.S.—Before Sarajevo/After Sarajevo.  Certainly, the world changed utterly on June 28, 1914 when the Archduke Franz Ferdinand, heir to the throne of the Austro-Hungarian Empire, and his wife, Duchess Sophie of Hohenberg were assassinated in the capital of provincial Bosnia-Herzegovina. 

 

Arch Duke Franz Ferdinand and his wife
Duchess Sophie of Hohenberg were admired and beloved by some.  The heir to the Empire was considered more moderate than his father, less autocratic, and more deeply committed to finding new ways to keep the multi-ethnic Empire intact.  But then European history is rife with cases of supposedly liberal-minded heirs becoming as despotic--or more--as their Fathers.  No one will ever know if Franz Ferdinand could or would be different.

The whole brutal avalanche of modern history turns on the death of a comic-opera princeling at the hands of a fanatic teenage nationalist.  Franz Ferdinand was the nephew of the elderly Austro Hungarian Emperor Franz Joseph and was his designated heir.  He had assumed more and more public ceremonial duties from his uncle. 

The Dual Monarchy of Austria and Hungary ruled a multi-ethnic empire in central Europe.  In the late 19th Century it expanded southward, absorbing some of the former Slavic provinces of the fading Ottoman Empire.  Bosnia and Herzegovina first came under Austrian sway by treaty in 1878 when it occupied and undertook administration of the provinces which remained officially under Ottoman sovereignty. 

In 1903 pretense was dropped and the Austro-Hungarian Empire annexed the lands, which were peopled by a volatile mix of ethnic groups and divided by religion—Catholic Croatians, Orthodox Serbs, and Muslim Bosnians among others.  All resented rule from Vienna almost as much as they feared and distrusted each other. 

Meanwhile modern Serbia arose as an independent kingdom in 1882 and quickly became aggressive and expansionist seeking to unite Orthodox ethnic Serbs in several surrounding states into a Greater Serbia.  It had claims on Bosnia and nearly came to war when the Empire annexed it. 

In the 1912-1913 Balkan Wars with its neighbors, Serbia seized Macedonia from the Ottomans and Kosovo from Bulgaria.  Its reckless aggressiveness was made possible by a close alliance with the Orthodox Russian Empire which saw an opportunity to advance its sphere of influence deep into Europe. 

The Serbs sought to destabilize the Slavic provinces with secret terrorist societies like the Black Hand and by subsidizing local nationalist groups, like the Young Bosnia movement made up of teenage romantics.

For his part, Franz Ferdinand supported a break from the unyielding rule of his uncle when he would come to power.  He proposed making the Slavic south as a Third Crown in the Empire theoretically bringing them into equality with Germanic Austria, and Magyar Hungary.  Under the scheme the provinces would be granted significant self-rule and a policy of reconciliation with Serbia would be pursued. 

 


Perhaps fatally multi-ethnic and multi-faith,  The Austro-Hungarian Empire was far more fragile than it thought.

This equally alarmed the Serbs, who felt that such reforms would derail their plans for eventual annexation, the local nationalists, and the Russians whose ambitions would have been checked by their traditional rival empire. 

There had been sporadic assassination attempts against various officials, including Emperor Franz Joseph himself in 1910.  Tensions in the region were running high.  The provision of arms and explosives to local groups was managed by the Serbian intelligence services but may have been carried out either without the knowledge and consent of the King and Prime Minister, or with veneer of separation allowing for “plausible deniability.” 

When the Emperor announced he was sending Franz Ferdinand to observe military maneuvers in Bosnia on a date fraught with historical significance to Serb nationalists, Serb diplomats in Vienna evidently did warn officials of the possibility of an attack, but this was written off by the Austrians as a bluff. 

Serbian intelligence agents meanwhile smuggled handguns, grenades, money, and suicide pills to a small group of young nationalists in Sarajevo, including Gavrilo Princip, Trifun Grabež, and Nedeljko ÄŒabrinović and sent others recruited from Belgrade, with Bosnian Muslim Mehmed MehmedbaÅ¡ić, Vaso ÄŒubrilović, and Cvjetko Popović, to undertake the assassination attempt. 

On June 28 the assassins were posted at various points along the announced route of a motorcade carrying the Archduke and his wife.  Two conspirators lost nerve as the motorcade passed but the third, ÄŒabrinović, lobbed a bomb at the Archduke’s car which scratched Sophie’s cheek and landed on the pavement on the far side of the car.  Its timed detonator went off under the following car injuring 20 people. 

The Archduke dismissed the attempt as the work of a “lunatic” and ordered that the day’s activities be continued, although the caravan sped its way to the next scheduled stop, the Town Hall.  On its way the car passed three other conspirators too quickly for them to act.  It looked like the mission was a failure. 

Discouraged, one of the men 19-year-old, Prinicp, went to a delicatessen for something to eat.  When he emerged, he saw Franz Ferdinand’s open car reversing after having taken a wrong turn as it drove past. 

The Archduke had decided to visit the wounded from the earlier attack after making a speech at the Town Hall instead of immediately driving out of the city.  He was guarded only by Lieutenant Colonel Count Franz von Harrach standing on the running board of the car. 


Note the woman at the bottom left-hand corner with the white hat. To her right, standing just a few feet away is Gavrilo Princip. He cannot be seen because he is just out of range of the photo. The Archduke's car is starting to turn right into the street where the assassination is about to take place.

The car stalled as the driver tried to reverse.  Prinicp was able to get within feet of the car and squeezed off two rounds from his automatic pistol.  The first round passed through the car and caromed into Sophie’s abdomen.  The second struck the Archduke in the neck severing his jugular vein.  Sophie spoke then pitched forward between her husband’s legs.  Franz Ferdinand reportedly said, “Sophie, Sophie! Don’t die! Live for our children.”  As the car sped to a hospital he repeated weekly several times, “It is nothing,” before blood filled his throat.  Sophie was dead in the car.  The Archduke died upon reaching the hospital. 

Passersby and police quickly seized Prinicp.  ÄŒabrinović had been captured earlier after a failed suicide attempt.  The other conspirators were quickly rounded up as anti-Serb rioting swept the capital.  Eventually all but MehmedbaÅ¡ić, who managed to escape to Montenegro and then to Serbia, were caught and tried along with others who aided them.  Those over twenty were condemned to death and were either hanged or died in prison.


                                                Twenty-year-old
Gavrilo Princip, who fired the fatal shots, had obviously been roughed up in his mug shot.

Princip and others under the age of 20 received the maximum term of 20 years.  Held under harsh conditions, he developed tuberculosis, lost an arm to an infection, and was malnourished.  He died in prison at the age of 23 in April 1918. 

In 1917, as a result of negotiations to reach a separate peace between Austria-Hungary and Serbia, the leaders of the Intelligence services that had authorized the assassination were tried and three of them including the chief, Colonel Dragutin Dimitrijević, known by the cover name Apis were convicted of various crimes and executed by firing squad. 

But the assassination itself was soon overshadowed the enormous consequences which seemed to fall mechanically into place.  Within weeks Austria-Hungary issued an ultimatum to Serbia.  Serbia agreed to most of the terms but refused to arrest plotters on the territory or allow the Empire to participate in an investigation.  They began mobilizing their forces with full assurance from Russia that it would honor their treaty of mutual defense. 

 


A contemporary cartoon pretty accurately illustrated the fatal chain reaction that led to global conflagration.

After a skirmish between boats carrying Serb troops and the Austrians on the Danube, the border between the powers, Austria Hungary mobilized on July 28.  Under the Secret Treaty of 1892 Russia and France were obliged to mobilize their armies if any of the Triple Alliance (Austria-Hungary, Germany, and Italy) mobilized.  By the first of August all major powers except the Italians were mobilized.  


Serbian troops were the first mobilized and moved quickly to attack the Empire secure in the powerful backing of Russia.

On August 1, Germany declared war on Russia and France.  The British declared war on the Germans after they refused to refrain from attacking France through neutral Belgium.  By September much of the world was at war. 

The Ottoman Empire entered the war on the side of the Central Powers.  Italy eventually turned its back on its former partners and joined the Allies in 1915.  The United States entered the war in 1917. 

 


The Great War spawned on the streets of Sarajevo left much of Europe a smoldering ruin.

The conflict saw carnage on an industrial scale never before imagined.  The introduction of the machine gun, modern high explosives, long range artillery, poison gas, and aerial warfare made the battlefield a lethal killing zone in which the maneuvers, charges, and counter charges of the 19th Century became impossible.  Massive offensives failed at anything but piling up the dead. 

The British alone suffered 57,470 casualties including 19,240 dead on the first day of the Battle of the Somme. Stalemated trench warfare became the norm.  At the end of the war the Allies had total casualties (killed, wounded, and missing) of 22,477,500 of which 5,525,000 were dead.  The losing Central Powers had casualties of 16,403,000 of which 4,386,000 were dead.  These figures do not include millions of civilians on both sides who died of starvation, disease, or military action or the millions more made homeless and displaced. 

At war’s end the empires of Austria Hungary, Russia, the Ottomans, and Germany were destroyed.  Russia had withdrawn from the war in 1917 following the ouster of the Tsar but was soon mired in bloody civil war from which the Bolsheviks would emerge as the masters of a new nation, the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR).  

With old Europe bled dry and financially ruined by the long war, the late arriving upstart the United States emerged as the dominant power in the world.  

The dramatically re-drawn map of Europe after the Treaty of Versailles catered to some nationalist fervor in the old Empire's Balkans but thwarted other ambitions and stoked jealousies.  Equally drastic was the disposition of the old Ottoman Empire and Germany's overseas colonies in Africa and the Pacific.

The League of Nations was founded to avoid future conflicts, but the U.S. despite the pleas of Woodrow Wilson, who conceived the organization, refused to join and it proved itself incapable of managing real international conflict.  Disarmament was tried and failed. 

Resentments and humiliations arising from the war festered, particularly in Germany, leading to another conflagration within a generation. 

The Balkans, the powder keg of the war, remains divided by ethnic and religious hostilities and is perpetually on the verge of erupting into more senseless conflict.

Lines drawn on maps dividing the spoils of colonies have continuing consequences reaching down to the Arab-Israeli conflict and wars in the cobbled together state of Iraq. 

The rapid disintegration of the Austro-Hungarian Empire may be an object lesson to the United States about how far and fast a supposedly stable and dominant power can fall.