Take Back the House is a great slogan and a noble goal, but unfortunately not likely in 2016. |
Note—I apparently have more to say about the races this year than I thought,
so this series is going to run longer than the projected three days. Today is already the third installment, and
we have only gotten to the Congressional races.
I am only covering contests in the two Congressional Districts that
include portions of McHenry County, Illinois—suburban/exurban districts
normally considered solidly Republican.
Nothing in recent politics—until Donald
Trump crawled out from under his rock—has been as discouraging as the iron grip Republicans have on the House of Representatives and the sharp right turn that party took with
the rise of the Tea Party. Thanks largely to gerrymandering reapportionment after a Republican wave took many state legislatures and governorships in 2010—at the bottom of
the economic collapse—the
Republicans now hold scores more safe
seats—nearly unassailable seats—than they did before. Enclaves
of White Suburban voters in the suburbs
of major metropolitan areas were
preserved intact while Democratic areas
and especially minority communities were
sliced and diced every which what
with small pieces thrown into hostile new Districts.
As a result Republicans now hold 247
seats to 188 for the Democrats despite actually getting fewer votes for their
candidates nationwide in the last two elections. That’s because the majority of Democratic
votes come from urban districts with huge majorities while the Republicans
control the geography of the House, if not the total population.
The increasingly shrill and militant Tea Party dominated House has been lashed to a frenzy of opposition to everything Barack
Obama stands for or opposes. They literally foam at the mouth at the mere
thought of a Black President. They have not only killed his budgets and agendas they have worked with single-minded obsession and scores of useless, symbolic votes to kill the legislative triumph before Democrats
lost the House—the Affordable Care Act
or, as they call it, Obama care. They destroyed
previously bi-partisan immigration
reform. And they passed, over and
over, legislation to restrict abortion,
de-fund Planned Parenthood, and attack
Gay rights and Marriage
Equality. Almost all of their most draconian legislation, died in the Senate either to the narrow Majority or tie Democrats held until 2014 or to the threat of filibuster the last two years. If all else failed there was the sure
knowledge that Obama’s veto could
almost always be upheld.
The Democratic minority in the House
was systematically stripped of many
traditional courtesies and procedural
input, their staffs slashed, and
minority members literally locked out
of being able to call witnesses in
many committees. Traditional negotiation and compromise
between parties completely broke down
with Republican legislation rammed
through without even allowing consideration
of Democratic amendments. It was the
back of the hand and my way or the highway.
The result has been confrontation, government shutdowns or threat of shutdowns, and absolute
legislative gridlock. The American people have noticed and approval ratings for Congress have fallen off the charts to the low
single digits. Despite this, thanks to the gerrymandered
districts, the majority of voters say they like their Congressman. The system favors incumbents of either party.
Districts now usually only come
into play when a seat opens up due
to a retirement, death, or indictment and the population is relatively closely divided between
parties.
To regain the House this year,
Democrats need to win 30 seats—not
unprecedented. They picked up 31
seats in 2006 at the nadir of George W. Bush’s popularity. But that was before reapportionment. It was also a so called wave election, phenomena that generally occurs in midterm elections when the party of an unpopular President loses
seats. It is what happened to Obama and
the Democrats in 2010 and to a lesser degree in 2012. In Presidential years, even a landslide White House win only results
in modest Congressional gains.
So most experts see retaking the
House this year as a virtually impossible mountain to climb. At best, Democrats hope to hold on to the
seats they have, and pick-up a dozen or so seats in potential swing districts. The
hope is that they can retake the Senate and with a big win by Clinton somewhat chastise and tame a narrower Republican majority in
the House.
In Illinois, the reapportionment was
still in the hands of Democrats who controlled the state House and Senate and thus the majority on the reapportionment
commission. But their main interest was
preserving most of their seats while the Illinois delegation was set to lose
two seats due to population stagnation
downstate and explosive growth
in Texas, Florida, and other Sunbelt
states. They did an act of magic
gerrymandering themselves to do that, dramatically revamping Congressional
District boundaries to intentionally throw two Republican incumbents into the
same district, for instance. As note
yesterday, they also reshaped the 8th
District to accommodate the expected candidacy of Tammy Duckworth.
In the process McHenry County, which had previously been almost entirely within
the 8th District was carved up between the radically
alerted 6th and 14th Districts,
both considered Republican bastions.
One of the things that happens when
Congressional Districts are declared a lock for the GOP is that money dries up for potential Democratic
challenger. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), and the Democratic National Committee (DNC)
don’t want to waste money on a losing
cause, but concentrate their resources on competitive contests. They
even discourage major Political Action
Committees (PACs) from doing the same.
Even progressives PACs like Emily’s
List, the Brady Campaign often
follow along, although they will sometimes pick a few longshot races key to their interests.
Money is the lifeblood of politics and despite extolling the virtues of volunteer
driven, shoe leather, door to door campaigns, it is almost
impossible to be competitive without heavy
spending on things like literature,
direct mail, polling, phone campaigns, and, of course, TV, radio, and social media
advertising. There are staff salaries to pay, office rent, travel, and event expenses. It mounts up fast. And in the bastion of another party, no
matter how much money is raised, it will usually be matched and topped.
Without outside support only wealthy candidates who can self finance campaigns stand much of a
chance. The Republicans have lots of
those. In Illinois, at least, they have
been scarce on the Democratic side. Only
Congressman Bill Foster comes to
mind recently.
Despite these odds and obstacles ordinary
Americans, citizen activists,
bravely step up to the plate to run long
shot campaigns. Most have little political experience beyond the
most local level or none at
all. They are people of modest means who can only afford limited funds from their own
pockets, often tapping life savings
or even mortgaging their homes. They don’t have wide circles of wealthy
family and acquaintances to
tap. If they are not retired, they can expect that their occupational income will be disrupted for a year or more.
Yet these citizen candidates feel
that their most deeply held beliefs and
convictions must be upheld in the public
forum and that voters must be given
a choice—especially where the status quo represents oligarchy, belligerence, and bigotry.
In the 6th and 14th Congressional Districts
which each include portions of McHenry County, two such citizen candidates
have stepped up. Each is earnest, thoughtful, and ready to both
put forth fresh ideas and support
the progressive programs of the next President. They deserve your attention and votes. A few
bucks thrown into the hats they
tossed into the ring would not be unwelcome either.
The Illinois 6th Congressional District. |
Amanda Howland for the 6th Congressional District
Peter
Roskam, the man who beat Tammy
Duckworth in her first run for Congress, could be the poster boy for entrenched incumbents. Since
that he has trounced four Democratic
challengers by wide margins despite having his district dramatically
redrawn. In 2014 he won by the widest
margin yet—67% to 33%—against the largely symbolic candidacy of retired postal
worker Michael Mason.
Despite the national attention he
received for his contest with Duckworth—probably the most watched race of 2006,
Roskam quickly became a classic back
bencher. Very conservative, he was
never quite a Tea Partier. He was
elected Chief Deputy Majority Whip, the fourth ranked GOP leadership post,
in the 112th Congress, but was ousted in the Tea party putsch in the next Congress.
Since then he has survived by keeping
his head down and loyally following leadership. He currently serves on the Ways and Means Committee and as Chair of its Subcommittee on Oversight where he occasionally draws attention for
hectoring Obama administration
officials. He was also on the Benghazi witch hunt special committee.
Roskam is known as a reliable water carrier for the National
Rifle Association (NRA) and gun lobby, opposition to Obama Care, calling climate change “junk science”, and as a
neo-con hawk on Iraq and against the Iranian
nuclear deal.
Amanda Howland represents a break
from all of that obstructionism Republican
dogma.
Howland, of Lake Zurich in neighboring Lake
County is a former teacher and education administrator who is now an attorney specializing in protecting the rights of people in both
civil rights cases and employment law. She has long been active in her community in numerous
capacities, including being a high level gymnastics
judge. Howland serves on the Board of Trustees of The College of Lake County and was
formerly Chair of the Board. In 2012 she ran for the 24th District Illinois Senate
seat.
Howland’s varied life experience has
made her especially interested in education. Still paying off student loans from her return to law school in mid-career she is especially concerned about the
burden of loans and a whole generation.
As a civil rights advocate she is a strong defender of a woman’s right to choose and an opponent of all attempts to restrict or make difficult to access abortion services and contraception. She supports
the Equality Act aimed at strengthening civil rights across the board.
Howland stands for a tax system that protects the middle class, and raises enough money
for vital infrastructure improvements and
educational opportunities like Pell
Grants by making sure subsidies to
billion dollar corporations are slashed and the wealthy pay their fair share. She will protect Social Security from Republican
schemes slash benefits, dismantle it,
or shovel money to Wall Street in risky privatization.
He opponent is a well known climate change denier but Howland
pledges to support ending oil and gas
subsidies and implementing the Paris climate change agreement.
Polls show that item by item the
American people—even Republicans—support
this agenda. Howland has to get the word out.
Although her race is difficult,
Howland good get a major boost if women turn out in big numbers to vote
against Donald Trump.
Jim Walz for the 14th Congressional District
You wouldn’t think that folks would line up for what pundits said was a suicide
mission. But three citizen activists
ran in the Democratic primary for
the 14th Congressional District for
a crack at Republican incumbent Randy
Hultgren. Jim Walz of Gurnee was the walk-away
winner of the primary based on a solid
progressive platform.
Walz is an outside sales representative to a major wholesale company with deep ties to his community and a call
to service. He was elected to the Warren Township
High School District #121 School Board. Both of his children attended and graduated from the high
school. Among his accomplishments on the board was advocating the addition of solar arrays at both campuses of the school, convincing
the Board to sign a letter of intent to install them.
Walz
dipped into activism in 2012 when he worked to the Move to Amend advisory referendum on the Warren Township ballot. The
referendum supported an Amendment
to the U.S. Constitution to overturn
the disastrous Citizens United decision
of the Supreme Court. The question passed by a 2 to 1 margin, a
testimony to his tireless work.
That experience sparked a deeper
interest in tackling progressive
reform blocked by the Republican House.
He became a Democratic precinct
committeeman in Lake County and
after consultation with his family decided to enter the 2016
Congressional Race.
Walz’s solidly progressive platform
resonated with many Bernie Sanders
supporters. His program includes
limiting the influence of dark money in
politics by standing on the principles
that corporations are not people and
money is not speech. He pledges to protect Social Security from
right wing attack and insure its
continued solvency by removing the payroll
cap for incomes over $500,000
per year, to broaden the base of
this tax and make it fairer and more
evenly distributed. He proposes expansion of programs to assist
and protect veterans and advocates tax credits to encourage the employment of veterans.
Despite taking zero dollars from big PACs and struggling with small donor
fundraising, Walz has conducted a vigorous
campaign relying on door to door
contact with voters and public appearances
in parades, forums, and community events across the
district. But he could use your help.
Illinois 14th Congressional District. |
Walz face Randy Hultgren who came to
the House in the 2010 election by defeating Democratic incumbent Bill Foster—who
later returned to Congress from another District. Redistricting put Tea Party ranter Joe Walsh into the 14th District. Walsh considered challenging Hultgren, but
was muscled aside by state GOP heavyweights
and deep pocket donors. Walsh was forced to run in the drastically
redrawn 8th District where he was a sacrificial
lamb to Tammy Duckworth.
Hultgren fared better. He beat retired
health care administers Dennis
Anderson, who ran credible but cash
strapped campaigns in 2012 and ’14.
In Congress Hultgren introduced
legislation to gut the Dodd–Frank
Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act by allowing banks to use risky financial derivatives known as Swaps
as a Hedge tool. He further
evidenced his fealty to corporate greed by signing the Americans for Prosperity
pledge to oppose Global
warming legislation that would raise any taxes. He attacked the Americans for Disabilities Act with the benign sounding Hire More Heroes Act that would have allowed employers to exclude veterans receiving health insurance
from the Department of Defense or
the Department of Veterans' Affairs
from their list of employees which
would allow many smaller companies to dodge
the 50 full-time employees line
that would require them to provide their employees with healthcare. Needless to say Hultgren also voted for all
of the scores of attempts to repeal Obama care.
Hultgren is intensely hostile to public
education and leads the Congressional
drum beat for special privileges for
home school families.
Hultgren is as nasty as any House
Republican and sorely needs to be
retired from Congress. Help Jim Walz
do it.
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